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SNP Wins Fifth Term but Loses Majority; O'Neill Seeks to Dissolve UK; Parties Unite to Exclude Reform

4 articlesSince May 8, 2026Scotland

Where things stand

Updated May 12, 04:46 PM

The Scottish National Party won a fifth consecutive Scottish Parliament election but fell short of an overall majority. Labour and Reform UK tied for second place with 17 seats each. The Conservatives won 12 seats, their worst result, losing their status as the largest opposition party. The Liberal Democrats returned 10 MSPs. Pro-independence parties—the SNP and Scottish Greens—together hold 73 of 129 seats, a majority. SNP leader John Swinney said he is prepared to work with any party other than Reform UK after failing to secure a majority.

Open questions

  • Will the SNP form a minority government or seek a formal coalition?Open since May 9, 2026
  • What conditions will the Scottish Greens set for supporting the SNP?Open since May 9, 2026
  • How will Reform UK's exclusion affect parliamentary proceedings?Open since May 11, 2026
  • What steps will Michelle O'Neill take to cooperate with Scottish and Welsh nationalists?Open since May 9, 2026
  • Which parties will ultimately provide support to pass legislation and budgets?

Key actors

John Swinney
SNP leader seeking support to form a government after falling short of a majority.
Scottish Greens
Potential kingmaker party with a record 15 seats, likely to demand tax rises in exchange for support.
Reform UK
Excluded by all major parties despite a breakthrough 17 seats, complicating parliamentary dynamics.
Michelle O'Neill
Northern Ireland First Minister pledging to work with Scottish and Welsh nationalists to dissolve the United Kingdom.
Scottish Liberal Democrats
Offered issue-by-issue support to a minority SNP government but ruled out a formal coalition.
Conservative Party
Suffered its worst-ever Holyrood result, losing opposition status and blaming Reform UK for splitting the unionist vote.
Labour Party
Rebounded to tie for second place, regaining a significant role in the new parliament.

What's corroborated

View full ledger

Timeline8

May 10, 07:12 PM
Silent patch

Housing Secretary Mairi McAllan refused to rule out tax increases demanded by the Scottish Greens for supporting SNP legislation.

May 9, 12:00 AM
Silent patch

Multiple major media sources confirm SNP won 58 seats, Reform UK and Labour tied for second with 17 seats each.

May 9, 12:00 AM
Silent patch

Northern Ireland First Minister Michelle O'Neill says she will collaborate with SNP and Plaid Cymru to dissolve the UK after their election wins.

May 9, 12:00 AM
Silent patch

Conservative leader Russell Findlay blamed Reform UK for splitting the unionist vote, contributing to the Tories' loss of 19 seats and opposition status.

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