8 percentage points. Per Söderpalm at Verian said more than 220,000 voters would need to switch sides for the Tidö parties to overtake. 9%.
Liberalerna gets 2% in the Ipsos poll, its lowest since 1979, and around 1% in the Indikator Opinion poll for Ekot. Since the 2022 election, more than every second sympathizer has left Liberalerna. Only one in seven Swedes believes Liberalerna will pass the 4% threshold.
Helena Gissén at Ekot said the party has total panic over low opinion figures. 2%, not a statistically significant increase. Per Söderpalm said Liberalerna has not received a clear opinion boost after the shift on SD in government.
Minister Johan Britz (L) said the party's previous red line against SD was not logical and contributed to record-low support. Within Moderaterna, there is widespread concern that the numbers are not lifting, with frustration directed at party leader Ulf Kristersson, according to anonymous high-level sources cited by TV4 Nyheterna. The sources said the party has lost voter support in elections Kristersson has led.
But if we go back to the milk crate, I think I am the same person. I have the same energy and intentions, but it is a different seriousness today.
Several centrally placed moderates describe a party ready to run a campaign for victory, but weak opinion combined with Kristersson's trust ratings below Magdalena Andersson's are seen as bad omens. There is a fear that the party has become stuck in third place behind Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats. A fight over leadership and the party's soul is expected if Moderaterna loses the election, sources said.
According to the Collectum/Sifo survey, almost one in four Swedes can consider changing political party due to the pension issue. Moderaterna and Sweden Democrats have 13% and 12% confidence respectively on pension issues. When asked which party would give the highest pension, Moderaterna and Social Democrats top with 15% each, followed by Vänsterpartiet with 14%.
Zero percent believe Miljöpartiet would give them the highest pension. Eight out of ten pensioners feel they have a good financial situation, but a pensioner's expenses are about 10,000 SEK lower per person per month compared to a 40-year-old. 7%, below the 4% electoral threshold, which would give it only one seat.
It is 13 years since Sp had such a low number in NRK's polls. The average for Sp in March polls is 5% according to pollofpolls. Only just over half of those who voted Sp last autumn would do so again, with Frp being the most common destination.
They understood early that they had to tackle the immigration issue and make it a non-issue to stop fringe parties from taking votes from the labor movement.
Frp has not been this large in NRK's polls since 2009, and together with Høgre could form a majority government. Rødt makes its best poll in four years. Neither Sp, KrF nor Venstre clear the 4% threshold.
5% in the 2022 election to 20% in recent polls, historically low. According to political scientist Rune Stubager, the drop is mainly due to Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's choice to form a government with two bourgeois parties; the majority of voters have moved left. Dissatisfaction took off at the end of 2022 when the government abolished the holiday 'Store Bededag' to finance defense.
1%. Venstre appears to become third largest but also drops over 3 percentage points. Moderaterna also drops, but Lars Løkke Rasmussen may still have a decisive role in government formation.
In Finland, only 14% of Finns think things are going in the right direction, while 69% think they are going in the wrong direction, according to an EVA survey. Among Kokoomus voters, 33% now think the direction is right, down from 62% last autumn; 67% think it is wrong. 87% of Sdp voters think things are going in the wrong direction.
Liberalerna's previous red line against SD was not logical and contributed to a record-low opinion support.
About half of respondents think the living conditions of those on benefits have been worsened unreasonably; 28% disagree. 63% of Finns believe political decision-makers do not have real will to reduce unemployment. 60% believe social peace will break down unless long-term mass unemployment is reduced quickly.
In Sweden, the SVT/Verian poll shows Social Democrats drop almost two percentage points compared to February, but the decrease is not statistically significant; they get their lowest voter support since autumn 2022. 2 percentage points compared to the previous Novus poll, part of a long-term trend of losing voters to other Tidö parties. Centerpartiet shows a statistically significant increase compared to February.
Among Liberal voters, 12% are for a government including SD, and 74% are absolutely against it. In the SVT/Verian March poll, only Liberalerna is below the threshold; KD, MP and C are clearly above 4%. 5% in the Maskína poll, its lowest in a year.
Miðflokkurinn is still second largest but has decreased in two polls in a row. According to Kvartal, the SOM-institutet misses SD voters in trust measurements for SVT and SR. Few voters in Västmanland know which parties govern the region.
Sweden is among the countries that are 'sliding' downwards according to a report.