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Swedish Opinion Polls Show Challenges for Moderate and Liberal Parties Amid Migration Debate

Key Points
  • The Moderate Party has fallen to one of its lowest support levels during the current mandate period according to SvD/Demoskop.
  • The Liberal Party continues to register at low levels in opinion polls, with many believing it risks losing parliamentary seats.
  • Migration policy debates focusing on teenage deportations and permanent residence permits have reportedly caused discord within the Tidö cooperation.

Recent opinion polls indicate continued challenges for Sweden's Moderate Party and Liberal Party, with both parties facing low support levels according to separate surveys published on February 26, 2026. The Moderate Party (M) has reportedly fallen to one of its lowest support levels during the current mandate period, according to an SvD/Demoskop poll. Despite dramatic weeks for the Tidö parties, which have seen renewed focus on migration policy, no party appears to be clearly punished by voters according to the survey.

The Liberal Party (L) continues to register at low levels in opinion measurements, with many believing the party risks losing its parliamentary seats after the next election, according to Sveriges Radio. The migration debate has been reignited recently, particularly focusing on teenage deportations and questions about scrapping permanent residence permits. This has reportedly led to discord within the Tidö cooperation and has sparked public criticism.

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