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Iran-Israel War Escalates After Killing of Supreme Leader; Global Powers Seek De-escalation

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  • Flag carrier Emirates has resumed nearly 80% of its operations out of Dubai, according to flight tracking website Flightradar24.

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  • European carriers including Air France, Lufthansa, KLM and British Airways have all temporarily suspended flights.

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  • In the United Arab Emirates, flights restarted on 2 March.

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  • Flag carrier Qatar Airways has been operating limited flights since 7 March.

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  • Flights to and from Kuwait are set to resume on Sunday, 26 April, two months after the outbreak of war following the US-Israel attack on Iran.

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  • Flydubai began operating flights on 21 April, followed by AirArabia on 22 April and Oman Air, Royal Jordanian, Tarco Aviation and US-Bangla Airlines on 23 April.

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  • Currently, no other airlines have announced the resumption of flights to Kuwait.

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  • Kuwait Airways will resume operations to some 17 destinations, including London, Istanbul, Mumbai, Cairo and Manila.

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  • Both airlines will continue to operate some flights out of Dammam while operations return to normal.

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  • National carrier Kuwait Airways and low-cost airline Jazeera Airways have been operating flights out of Dammam in Saudi Arabia.

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  • Kuwait International Airport has been hit several times in recent weeks by drone attacks on Terminal 1, Terminal 2, and fuel storage tanks.

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  • Spain's refusal to allow its bases or airspace for attacks on Iran and Britain's initial hesitation to grant US access to its bases are cited as examples of allied reluctance.

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  • These policy considerations emerge amid Donald Trump's past criticisms of Nato allies for not contributing sufficiently and his questioning of the alliance's value.

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  • The confidential memo expresses significant frustration over certain allies' reluctance to grant essential Access, Basing, and Overflight (ABO) rights for the Iran conflict.

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  • Israel and Lebanon were to hold a second round of talks in Washington on Thursday, during which Beirut will request a one-month extension of the ceasefire.

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  • UNIFIL is ready to support the Lebanese army and government in disarmament of armed groups, but this will be difficult due to Hezbollah resistance and Lebanese army limitations.

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  • There has been a relative ceasefire for the past few days, allowing UNIFIL to intensify activities.

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  • A durable solution must take into account the security needs of Lebanon and Israel.

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  • Beirut wants to keep UN capacities such as monitoring, reporting, observing and liaising.

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  • UNIFIL is primarily tasked with supporting humanitarian work but can also deploy forces to ensure its area is not used for hostile actions.

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  • UNIFIL's mandate is set to expire on 31 December.

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  • Any eventual UN presence would probably be smaller than UNIFIL.

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  • The Security Council has requested options for a post-UNIFIL UN presence, with recommendations due before 1 June.

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  • The United Nations is working on options for maintaining a presence in Lebanon after the UNIFIL mandate expires.

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  • UNIFIL has lost five troops in recent days: two French nationals and three Indonesians.

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  • One country welcomes the aviation crisis and sees it as an unexpected cash cow.

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  • Lufthansa is canceling 20,000 flights.

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  • The main issues at the meeting are expected to be competitiveness and the consequences for the EU of the situation in the Middle East, especially related to energy prices.

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  • In connection with the meeting, the Prime Minister will also participate in a working lunch with heads of state and government from Egypt, Lebanon, Jordan, and Syria.

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  • EU heads of state and government will meet informally in the European Council on April 23-24 in Nicosia, Cyprus.

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  • Norway, alongside Spain and Ireland, recognised the State of Palestine in 2024.

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  • Trump raised the issue again during a White House meeting earlier this month with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte.

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  • Norway has pushed back against criticism from US President Donald Trump over what he described as 'zero' European support in the conflict with Iran.

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  • Donald Trump wrote about the attack on Truth Social.

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  • ISW emphasizes that this does not necessarily imply a formal takeover of power.

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  • The think tank concludes that the politicians the U.S. has negotiated with may have lacked real influence, and that the actual power instead lay with the Revolutionary Guard's military leadership.

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  • According to ISW, this contributed to the talks being broken off and the delegation being called home, indicating that Iran's negotiators lacked full mandate to make decisive decisions.

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  • During recent talks in Islamabad, the military leadership is reported to have tried to place a security representative in the Iranian delegation to monitor the negotiations.

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  • ISW points out that Ahmad Vahidi and people close to him have also had direct influence over Iran's negotiations with the U.S., a responsibility that normally lies with civilian politicians.

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  • According to a new analysis from the U.S.-based think tank Institute for the Study of War (ISW), the explanation may be that power has temporarily concentrated in the leadership of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

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  • At the same time, several merchant ships are reported to have been attacked or forced to turn around.

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  • The next day, the Revolutionary Guard's navy issued a contrary decision and announced that no ships, regardless of nationality, are allowed to pass.

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  • According to ISW, they have gained decisive influence over both Iran's military actions and the country's negotiation line towards the U.S. within about 48 hours.

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  • The think tank specifically points out IRGC chief General Ahmad Vahidi and his inner circle.

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  • Statements from Iran's foreign ministry have been quickly contradicted by military actions, including regarding shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

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  • Iran's actions in recent days have raised questions about who actually makes decisions in the country.

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  • Munir was not always an obvious international statesman, say experts.

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  • US presidents have long preferred dealing with Pakistan’s military leaders rather than their democratically elected ones.

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  • Analysts have emphasised that it is not unusual for Pakistan’s army chief – an unelected, yet overwhelmingly powerful position – to shape the country’s foreign policy and to be the face of foreign engagements, even when civilian governments are supposedly in charge.

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  • When the US and Iranian delegations met in Islamabad on Saturday, Munir was the third party in the room.

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