Enligt finansminister Elisabeth Svantesson kan kriget i Mellanöstern påverka Sveriges ekonomi. Hon säger att man bör förbereda sig för en allvarlig situation. Svantesson håller en presskonferens på onsdagen där hon presenterar en ny prognos för ekonomisk utveckling.
' Svantesson anser att vi fortfarande befinner oss i en ekonomisk återhämtning. Däremot har olje- och gaspriserna stigit, och det mildare scenariot är redan föråldrat, enligt Svantesson. Iran har valt att stänga Hormuzsundet, vilket beskrivs som oroande.
We are really preparing for it to get worse.
Om Hormuzsundet förblir stängt under en längre tid kan det leda till stora problem och att oljepriserna fortsätter att stiga, sade Svantesson. Hon tillade att Hormuzsundet har en större och viktigare betydelse för världshandeln. Den nya prognosen bygger på baslinjescenariot som presenterades tidigare.
Om kriget i Iran fortsätter längre kan situationen bli allvarligare, med påverkan på den globala ekonomin och definitiv påverkan på den svenska ekonomin, enligt Svantesson. De specifika ekonomiska konsekvenserna som Mellanösternkriget kommer att få för Sverige är ännu inte klara, och hur länge Hormuzsundet förväntas förbli stängt är okänt. De exakta detaljerna i den nya ekonomiska prognosen som finansminister Svantesson presenterade har inte avslöjats.
If this becomes more prolonged then we will have problems with higher prices and maybe even access.
Unfortunately, we do not know what Donald Trump is thinking, he can have different motives on different days. I don't think his plan was to be there so long, but now they are staying. And even if the US withdraws, what happens then? Probably the conflict doesn't end with that.
Then one of the colleagues said that this is like therapy. Everyone is having a really tough time now, and it's hard to know when it will end.
I was clear: they must be quick-footed. There is no time to wait.
It can go quite quickly. Our tax reduction to the EU minimum level takes effect already on May 1. To lower further requires the Commission's approval, and that can take a few months.
We are not there now. But one should always prepare for the worst and hope for the best.
If this becomes long-term and prolonged and prices become very high, then we all have to think about how we should act. Otherwise, prices will skyrocket and there could be shortages. But we are not there now.
To not give up and see that it will turn around. I know it feels tough for very many right now. But with the tax reductions, with food prices lowering now and with
I have said it many times, we live in an uncertain time with a lot of turbulence. That naturally makes it harder to make forecasts, but no less important to do it to still see which direction the Swedish economy and others' economies are taking.
In essence, there are many things that hold up, the uncertainty that we are now in again, and the unpredictability. With that, we don't know exactly where the Swedish and global economy are heading but still a glimmer of light.
It is obvious that oil and gas prices have risen. As you probably remember, there were three scenarios that I brought up last time. It was a mild, a base scenario, and a more serious one. The milder scenario is already overshot.
But the Strait of Hormuz has a larger and more important significance for world trade.
Then we have a serious situation in the sense that the global economy will be affected. The Swedish economy will definitely be affected.
My absolute message to the Swede who is worried about the world is that Sweden stands stable and we have managed many difficult periods before.
Sweden is on the right course. Despite war and uncertainties in the world, the Swedish economy is strong, and we continue to build protective barriers around it. For the recovery to gain momentum here at home, we need to continue instilling future faith in Sweden's hard-working people.
Again, Svantesson has had to admit that she has misjudged the Swedish economy.
They are eating their way into our democracy.
One can also calmly say that it is very well-timed.