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Djupanalys genomförd: Deep research (Significant (Standard Research))

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World Weather Attribution
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Erik Kjellström
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SMHI
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Sammanfattning

Based on the provided sources, the news event can be verified as substantially correct. The core findings of the World Weather Attribution (WWA) study are consistently reported across multiple independent sources. **What can be confirmed:** 1. **Study Existence & Core Finding:** A study by the World Weather Attribution network was published in August 2025. Multiple sources, including the official WWA site, SMHI, Euronews, The Guardian, and Politico, confirm its central conclusion: human-induced climate change made the July 2025 heatwave in Sweden, Norway, and Finland **at least 10 times more likely** and approximately **2°C hotter** than it would have been in a pre-industrial climate. [Sources: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7] 2. **Event Details:** The heatwave occurred in mid-July 2025, lasted about two weeks, and featured unprecedented duration, with specific records cited (e.g., 13 consecutive days above 30°C in parts of Norway, 22 days in Finland). [Sources: 1, 2, 3, 4] 3. **Widespread Impacts:** The sources uniformly report severe consequences, including strained healthcare systems, wildfires, extensive algal blooms, reindeer disruption, and a high number of drowning deaths (with specific figures for Sweden and Finland provided). [Sources: 1, 2, 5, 6] 4. **Research Collaboration:** The study was a collaborative effort by researchers from multiple countries, including contributors from the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI). [Sources: 1, 3] **What is noted or uncertain:** * **Precision of "2°C":** While all sources cite the 2°C figure, the WWA report itself (Source 1) and Politico (Source 7) note this is likely an **underestimate**. There is no contradiction, but a clarification of the finding's conservatism. * **Mortality Figures:** The number of heat-related deaths is not yet fully quantified. Sources mention drowning deaths precisely but note that the full heat-related mortality (like the estimated 750 in Sweden's 2018 heatwave) will be known only after data processing. [Sources: 2, 5] * **Future Projections:** The study projects such events will become five times more frequent by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (2.6°C of warming). This is a future projection, not an observation. [Sources: 2, 5, 7] **Conclusion:** The description of the news event is accurate and corroborated by the official study and numerous reputable news outlets. The key claims about increased likelihood (10x) and intensity (2°C) are directly confirmed, with the only nuance being that the temperature increase is considered a conservative estimate.

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SMHI ForskningMyndighet

Den globala uppvärmningen har ökat sannolikheten för svåra värmeböljor

smhi.se2025-08-14
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